Saturday, February 27, 2016

Why I Think "The Revenant" Will Win Best Picture, But "Spotlight" Should, and Other Oscar Predictions

TOMORROW IS MORE IMPORTANT TO ME THAN CHRISTMAS. With the Academy Awards only one day away, it is time for me to address my predictions for the winners this year. Unfortunately, I have not seen every single film nominated for every single category. Believe me, I am as disappointed by this fact as you are.

I have written blogs on a few of the films I've seen that are nominated for the Oscars this year. I wrote independently on both "Spotlight" and "The Revenant". In my opinion these were the two standout films of the year. It is no secret that I am absolutely in love with Leonardo DiCaprio, and "The Revenant" completely blew me away. However, I wholeheartedly think that "Spotlight" was the more important film. It beautifully captured the importance of journalism, a field that is underrepresented in Hollywood. I won't go into depth on either of these films, since I previously reviewed them. Over all, I think the spot for best picture will come down to these two films. While both are spectacular, I think "The Revenant" will win best picture, but "Spotlight" should win. "Spotlight" not only tells the story of the scandal of priests sexual abusing children, but why journalism matters. "Spotlight" was able to go steps beyond demonstrating the importance of journalism- after the movie was released, many other people came forward with reports of sexual abuse conducted by priests. It was an exceptionally impressive and eye-opening film. "The Revenant" has many of the bells and whistles the academy looks for, though, that I think will lead it to ultimately beat out "Spotlight". The extreme tactics of Inarritu will likely place it on a higher ranking with the Academy, just at his film "Birdman" won best picture last year.

As for best actor, Leo better finally get his Oscar. While I can argue why "The Revenant" shouldn't necessarily win best picture, I think it will beat out competitors in several other categories. Unfortunately I haven't seen the other films that were nominated for actor in a leading role (curse the busy and broke life of a college student), I can wholeheartedly say that Leonardo DiCaprio finally deserves to get his Oscar. I have seen most of the films he's been in, and he honestly amazes me more with every role he takes on.

I think Inarritu's daring decisions as a director will set him apart once again in the eyes of the Academy, leading him to deservingly win best director. The choices of Inarritu, in combination with the choices of cinematographer Lubezki, will also beat out other films and win best cinematography.

For best actress, I think Brie Larson should and will win for her stellar performance in "Room". She has received spectacular reviews across the board. Her moving performance definitely stood out in comparison to the other actresses nominated for the category.

Actor in a supporting role seems like a bit of a toss-up to me. I thought Christian Bale did an unbelievable job portraying Michael Burry in "The Big Short" and should win for his performance. I doubt that Mark Ruffalo will win for his performance in "Spotlight", but he also did a spectacular job. I am never ever disappointed by Mark Ruffalo. He's just a lovable teddy bear.

I have heard wonderful things about Alicia Vikander's role in "The Danish Girl", and think she is a strong contender in the category of best supporting actress. Unfortunately I haven't seen this film so I can't validate this. I honestly don't understand the hype over Rooney Mara's performance in "Carol"- I was highly disappointed by most aspects of this film, with the exception of set design and costume design."

This leads me to my next prediction, that "Mad Max: Fury Road" will win best costume design. I always am impressed by all of the costumes nominated for this category. I haven't seen "Mad Max: Fury Road", but it received lots of positive feedback as well.

To quickly finish up (I won't list every single prediction I have), best adapted screenplay should go to "The Big Short" and best original screenplay should go to "Spotlight". "Amy" entirely deserves to win best documentary, as this was one of the best films I've seen all year.

I hope you all enjoy this year's Academy Awards as much as I will, and I will be giving my feedback on the event shortly!



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